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Polymarket wallet 0x1e6c8264690f8f17dbc7ed766c40a00f90dfb8c2 · on Polymarket since Dec 12, 2025 · also shown as Honest-Sow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$519 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69,184 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,242 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SellYes99¢ | $4,653 |
| 301d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes51¢ | $1,023 |
| 301d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $519 |
| 301d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $283 |
| 301d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $25 |
| 301d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $172 |
| 308d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $795 |
| 308d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $760 |
| 308d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $690 |
| 309d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $188 |
| 311d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes51¢ | $612 |
| 311d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $8 |
| 311d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $74 |
| 316d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $43 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.