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Polymarket wallet 0x1e8d0fce68d2c1fe126f91455a89c1174ff529ee · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Glum-Friend
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 284 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 355 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 63 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.