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Polymarket wallet 0x1ea1d2ffabe9d191b28a37a3ff0793b5816aa008 · on Polymarket since Nov 10, 2025 · also shown as Cumbersome-Mrna
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,834 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,416 −100% |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 4,400 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,288 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,850 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,454 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,838 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,362 −100% |
| FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 3,658 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,829 −100% |
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 3,879 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,862 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | XRP Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $1,454 |
| 246d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,343 |
| 246d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SellDown48¢ | $9 |
| 246d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $81 |
| 247d | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 18? | BuyUp52¢ | $1,503 |
| 247d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 18? | BuyDown48¢ | $1,362 |
| 260d | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp34¢ | $6 |
| 260d | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown35¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo100¢ | $12 |
| 325d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp50¢ | $6 |
| 325d | Solana Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $10 |
| 347d | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 10? | BuyDown52¢ | $2,288 |
| 347d | NYA (NYA) Up or Down on November 10? | BuyDown48¢ | $1,862 |
| 347d | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on November 10? | BuyDown50¢ | $1,829 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.