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Polymarket wallet 0x1ec16e886711864b8cedfe1407e826d2ac388002 · on Polymarket since Jul 12, 2025 · also shown as Deafening-Cotton
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +69% |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 467d | Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th? | BuyYes21¢ | $5 |
| 467d | 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 467d | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.