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Polymarket wallet 0x1f9f7ceae00ab3d1499d2598b20785885ec58680 · on Polymarket since Jul 31, 2024 · also shown as Alarmed-Wage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100,020 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,307 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$146 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,848 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,001 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$220 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.