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Polymarket wallet 0x200e315645e6180e974c05c413378bdb3bab6870 · on Polymarket since Nov 14, 2025 · also shown as Orange-Stair
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 230 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 601 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$301 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 511 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$256 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 763 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5 | BuyUnder49¢ | $162 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,479 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $301 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $3 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $21 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $36 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $32 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $256 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $382 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $738 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.