| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 102 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $102 | +$31 +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETEnds ended | Down | 69 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $52 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$5 +56% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$3 +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 55¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$5 +82% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 221 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 113 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 73 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 227 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 91 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 118 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 189 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 88 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 68 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 74 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 79 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 44 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 47 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 154 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 71 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 135 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 78 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 74 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 39 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 38 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 137 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 52 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 49 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 42 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 86 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 94 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 87 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 98 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 29 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 167 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 47 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 28 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 52 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 79 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 132 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 79 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 56 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
