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Polymarket wallet 0x209f9d626e83242f41ec931369ea7a86ffaf2b3a · on Polymarket since Jan 20, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,439 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,572 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Wife" during WEF Address on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | SellYes1¢ | $8 |
| 267d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $6 |
| 268d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellYes12¢ | $102 |
| 275d | Will Trump say "Wife" during WEF Address on January 21? | BuyNo1¢ | $20 |
| 275d | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyYes4¢ | $50 |
| 275d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 275d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $30 |
| 275d | US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 275d | Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.