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Polymarket wallet 0x21bac188598c79a827cd54c2db710775a49f408f · on Polymarket since Oct 13, 2024 · also shown as Sparse-Servant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 160 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$17 −84% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$728 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,602 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$237 −100% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.