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Polymarket wallet 0x24ae061e8b907f240cdd008f8116d2035a1ff9b5 · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2026 · also shown as Roasted-Balloon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $1 |
| 50d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $1 |
| 57d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BuyDown72¢ | $1 |
| 101d | Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 116d | Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay? | BuyNo88¢ | $1 |
| 147d | Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31? | BuyYes98¢ | $8 |
| 238d | Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SellNo99¢ | $20 |
| 238d | Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyNo99¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.