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Polymarket wallet 0x266566273aa8e9fb33fbce078a836d514324a8fc · on Polymarket since Jul 3, 2025 · also shown as Incomplete-Bassoon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,350 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,071 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 552 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,176 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,931 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,234 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 851 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 256d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes1¢ | $21 |
| 256d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $70 |
| 265d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $86 |
| 270d | US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 476d | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $145 |
| 476d | Will the Iranian regime fall before August? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.