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Polymarket wallet 0x269588909b20db1631972274b9f909164e112ff8 · on Polymarket since Sep 10, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 924 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $51 | −$106 −68% |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $47 | +$10 +25% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 182 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BuyYes80¢ | $38 |
| 42d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $52 |
| 42d | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BuyNo22¢ | $42 |
| 43d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $111 |
| 43d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes18¢ | $43 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.