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Polymarket wallet 0x26c1b3c0b31a90305ad5ac7c3b3b862116c277f4 · on Polymarket since Sep 15, 2025 · also shown as Murky-Effector
Bio
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,895 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 388d | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30? | SellNo1¢ | $2 |
| 388d | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | SellYes<1¢ | $7 |
| 388d | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BuyYes1¢ | $9 |
| 388d | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BuyYes1¢ | $9 |
| 388d | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30? | BuyNo5¢ | $9 |
| 389d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 29? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 389d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 29? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 402d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 402d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $55 |
| 402d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.