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Polymarket wallet 0x279d79916c248e80142b5bc4708e45b360e76e58 · on Polymarket since Sep 28, 2024 · also shown as Neglected-Muscle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. PelicansSettled - ready to redeem | Grizzlies | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Magic vs. Trail BlazersSettled - ready to redeem | Trail Blazers | 5 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,005 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165d | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BuyYes38¢ | $1 |
| 198d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 218d | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BuyYes39¢ | $1 |
| 236d | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BuyNo32¢ | $1 |
| 259d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ | $1 |
| 268d | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | BuyGrizzlies51¢ | $1 |
| 301d | Mavericks vs. Kings | BuyKings42¢ | $2 |
| 304d | Magic vs. Trail Blazers | BuyTrail Blazers46¢ | $2 |
| 350d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 8? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 |
| 351d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 7? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 752d | Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | SellYes90¢ | $0 |
| 752d | Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | BuyYes91¢ | $0 |
| 755d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes48¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.