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Polymarket wallet 0x2857bfef1ae7b186657e3fc7616b74add233c891 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Sympathetic-Plunger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47,230 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29,964 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes28¢ | $300 |
| 260d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes28¢ | $296 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $29,964 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.