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Polymarket wallet 0x2876dacaeea85c795e53382c77fde37ec39ad1b0 · on Polymarket since Dec 26, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 223 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 127 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 187 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 176 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $22 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $20 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 280d | US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $20 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes28¢ | $20 |
| 283d | Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 283d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.