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Polymarket wallet 0x2a84d89b08598eda6149da519304b167f8d21541 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2025 · also shown as Unimportant-Thermostat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,930 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,222 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,335 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 750 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,415 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on December 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,859 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 318d | XRP Up or Down on December 11? | BuyUp51¢ | $4 |
| 318d | XRP Up or Down on December 10? | BuyUp<1¢ | $5 |
| 318d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10? | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 318d | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10? | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 318d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 536d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 536d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $40 |
| 536d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $18 |
| 537d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 584d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 584d | Was JFK assassination an inside job? | BuyYes2¢ | $40 |
| 584d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 633d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.