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Polymarket wallet 0x2ac7554fc9ef16c35b5b8bbe18351aec90a3949d · on Polymarket since Feb 14, 2026 · also shown as Gleaming-Marathon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 359 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $20 | −$34 −63% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 540 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 122 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 330 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $56 |
| 123d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BuyDown7¢ | $25 |
| 123d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 160d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $7 |
| 160d | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BuyNo65¢ | $20 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4PM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $11 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BuyUp9¢ | $5 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown8¢ | $10 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BuyUp20¢ | $4 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.