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Polymarket wallet 0x2b9d8f62d33910e4677889da17991b0360cafca6 · on Polymarket since Jul 6, 2026 · also shown as Quintessential-Polarization-Zephyr
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 100¢ | $29 | +$24 +488% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 57¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$8 +75% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 17 | 29¢ → 83¢ | $14 | +$9 +184% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 87 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $8 | −$12 −59% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109d | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes29¢ | $5 |
| 109d | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BuyYes57¢ | $10 |
| 109d | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $21 |
| 109d | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 109d | Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $5 |
| 109d | GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026? | BuyNo17¢ | $5 |
| 109d | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BuyYes83¢ | $20 |
| 109d | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BuyNo20¢ | $21 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.