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Polymarket wallet 0x2cf083f41659a7282ce940280c6ef47ea5b1309e · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.6% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown92¢ | $4 |
| 259d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp21¢ | $3 |
| 259d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ | $3 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes56¢ | $6 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $7 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes54¢ | $2 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.