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Polymarket wallet 0x2ed3a2372f01ae795f1b1a4d52fc4a3be120413a · on Polymarket since Apr 8, 2026 · also shown as Humongous-Cinder
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$2 +47% |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,440 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 348 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 197d | US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? | BuyYes24¢ | $8 |
| 197d | Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo68¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 9? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.