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Polymarket wallet 0x30ace287be6e5d501b424a4b7a680366b3b42bde · on Polymarket since Nov 8, 2025 · also shown as Improbable-Invasion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,248 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$624 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7,130 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,565 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 348d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3,565 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $13 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $17 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $52 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $798 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $826 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $108 |
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $624 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.