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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 266 | 23¢ → 100¢ | $266 | +$205 +335% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 334 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BuyYes35¢ | $117 |
| 272d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes52¢ | $61 |
| 273d | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BuyYes23¢ | $61 |
| 278d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $30 |
| 278d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $50 |
| 278d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $40 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes60¢ | $29 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $25 |
| 283d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $25 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyNo72¢ | $175 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.