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Polymarket wallet 0x363dc095ff497e6f845147c5a41298d441c75cde · on Polymarket since Nov 18, 2025 · also shown as Neglected-Stay
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit $320 before 2026??Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 909 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 506 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 324d | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 324d | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
| 332d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Will Apple (AAPL) hit $320 before 2026?? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 333d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | SellNo36¢ | $23 |
| 337d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BuyNo16¢ | $10 |
| 337d | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.