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Polymarket wallet 0x36439baa819f40f9cccb30c169e341465e24af5b · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2025 · also shown as Nocturnal-Permafrost
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4,200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,500 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5,200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,600 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 337d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24? | BuyYes96¢ | $7 |
| 347d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $35 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $15 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $30 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $20 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $4,500 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2,100 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,700 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $15 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,000 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,585 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,400 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.