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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 615 | 58¢ → 97¢ | $599 | +$243 +68% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 422 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $412 | +$112 +37% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.