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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 823 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 17? | BuyYes11¢ | $2 |
| 223d | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 223d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $4 |
| 223d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SellNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $15 |
| 237d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo3¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.