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Polymarket wallet 0x3a46aaa0f8a16139bb567da42e83e0f3c0954ced · on Polymarket since Oct 18, 2024 · also shown as Threadbare-Ignorance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 278 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 674d | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow? | BuyNo24¢ | $67 |
| 674d | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow? | SellYes76¢ | $67 |
| 674d | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow? | BuyYes74¢ | $65 |
| 674d | Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024? | SellYes89¢ | $65 |
| 676d | Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024? | BuyYes92¢ | $68 |
| 682d | Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday? | SellNo100¢ | $68 |
| 683d | Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ | $67 |
| 693d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo<1¢ | $3 |
| 694d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo1¢ | $9 |
| 694d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo2¢ | $11 |
| 694d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo1¢ | $10 |
| 694d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 694d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 697d | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellYes29¢ | $72 |
| 697d | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyYes40¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.