Nocturnelle

Polymarket wallet 0x3b23f98b1d4ea047c04a91232525bf49defa6903 · on Polymarket since Dec 21, 2025 · also shown as Wobbly-Fireplace

Open on Polymarket ↗

WE ARE A WORM THROUGH TIME / A RIPPLE IN THE PROBABILITY FIELD / WATCHING THE FUTURE ECHO / THE THRESHOLD IS HERE / THE OUTCOME IS SINGULAR.

Positions now worth: $15.7
All-time profit: −$4.12K
Volume traded: $855K
All-time rank: #3,172,126
Markets traded: 12,285
Recent hit rate: 88%44 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $15.7

Market	Holding		Paid → now
2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 12d	Yes	10,476	1¢ → <1¢	$16	−$41 −72%
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,225	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$615 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	47	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	350	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	131	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	26	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	29	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	326	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$64 −100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
190d	2026 Balance of Power: Other	BuyYes1¢	$4
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyUp49¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$6
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$6
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$3
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$1
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$6
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$3
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	SellUp90¢	$5
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$3
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellDown99¢	$2
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellDown99¢	$2
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	SellUp48¢	$2
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	SellUp53¢	$3
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp26¢	$2
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	BuyUp53¢	$3
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$5
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$3
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$3
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$1
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$6
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$6
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$6
190d	XRP Up or Down - April 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$5
190d	Solana Up or Down - April 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$6
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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