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Polymarket wallet 0x3b8a0bc15172eafe8828422932927d445f05038e · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Flamboyant-Plot
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 784 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$392 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,122 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$561 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,509 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$755 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 933 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$467 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $12 |
| 84d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 87d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 90d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 93d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 102d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 102d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $0 |
| 102d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $0 |
| 105d | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 | BuyUnder53¢ | $3 |
| 109d | Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins49¢ | $3 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $392 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $755 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $202 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $460 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $7 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $561 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.