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Polymarket wallet 0x3b8e552d2205cf8742d3f420af8e41aba00b80e8 · on Polymarket since Nov 20, 2025 · also shown as Hefty-Jewelry
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.9% |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +30% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 317 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 223 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 377 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$146 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 675 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$267 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.