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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,580 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 250 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,880 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,483 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,250 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Marcin Tybura | 110 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $4 |
| 1h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $6 |
| 40d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes11¢ | $7 |
| 40d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 84d | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BuyMarcin Tybura2¢ | $2 |
| 87d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 200d | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $3 |
| 201d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo1¢ | $63 |
| 202d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.