Probable-Swell

Polymarket wallet 0x3caafd466d921151ad6128d529e224131b521be3 · on Polymarket since Mar 13, 2026

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: +$4.38K
Volume traded: $118K
All-time rank: #28,627
Markets traded: 191
Recent hit rate: 86%43 of last 50 closed

Open positions

68 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	425	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	129	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	411	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,159	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	581	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	362	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$214 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	370	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,506	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	615	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$171 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	192	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$84 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	201	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	355	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$233 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	104	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	437	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	235	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	705	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,794	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$419 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	164	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$72 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	379	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	998	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$350 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	172	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	437	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	702	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	371	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	341	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	98	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	815	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	120	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	202	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	112	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	549	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	45	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	386	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	530	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	152	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$44 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	465	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2,256	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,941	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	103	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,326	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	266	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	402	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	101	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	461	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	93	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	427	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	941	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$427 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	406	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	202	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$70 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	427	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	772	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	430	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,325	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$309 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	65	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	768	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,563	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,521	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	85	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	109	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	815	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	142	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$37 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	410	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	465	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	95	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	251	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,341	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	BuyUp45¢	$208
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$236
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	BuyUp39¢	$209
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	BuyUp47¢	$312
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	BuyUp41¢	$208
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	BuyUp36¢	$314
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	SellUp99¢	$1,673
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	BuyUp69¢	$205
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	BuyUp39¢	$209
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	BuyUp34¢	$314
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BuyDown11¢	$116
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BuyDown58¢	$206
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	SellUp99¢	$798
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	BuyUp43¢	$98
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	BuyUp51¢	$311
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	SellUp99¢	$900
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	BuyUp62¢	$103
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	BuyUp53¢	$413
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	SellUp99¢	$766
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	BuyUp27¢	$105
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	BuyUp49¢	$207
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	SellUp97¢	$186
176d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	BuyUp52¢	$103
179d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	BuyDown33¢	$200
179d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	SellDown99¢	$345
179d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	BuyDown55¢	$200
179d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	SellDown99¢	$398
179d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BuyDown22¢	$50
179d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BuyDown51¢	$100
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	BuyDown12¢	$200
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	SellUp99¢	$404
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BuyUp44¢	$100
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BuyUp18¢	$37
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	SellUp99¢	$589
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	BuyUp16¢	$100
180d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellDown99¢	$183
180d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$100
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellDown99¢	$177
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$100
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown16¢	$50
180d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$100
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	BuyUp41¢	$200
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	SellUp99¢	$827
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	BuyUp34¢	$300
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	BuyUp41¢	$2
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	SellUp99¢	$1,041
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET	SellUp99¢	$736
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	BuyUp44¢	$100
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	BuyUp43¢	$200
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	BuyUp43¢	$10
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	BuyUp42¢	$62
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET	BuyUp39¢	$50
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$300
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4PM ET	SellUp>99¢	$717
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4PM ET	BuyUp40¢	$300
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	SellUp43¢	$504
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BuyUp48¢	$200
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BuyUp37¢	$300
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	SellUp99¢	$671

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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