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Polymarket wallet 0x3d8a199b3ae109520214e69df22001d2223af794 · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2025 · also shown as Hospitable-Perpendicular
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 76 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 316d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp46¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp3¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes19¢ | $2 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp14¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp26¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BuyDown31¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BuyDown4¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SellDown17¢ | $5 |
| 317d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.