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Polymarket wallet 0x3ddffdabbfda9233cd347fe9eeed0ace265f884e · on Polymarket since Feb 14, 2026 · also shown as Harmless-Carnation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 370 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 314 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Packers vs. BearsSettled - ready to redeem | Packers | 290 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Clippers vs. WarriorsSettled - ready to redeem | Warriors | 1,300 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
| Flyers vs. Maple LeafsSettled - ready to redeem | Maple Leafs | 200 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesSettled - ready to redeem | New York Yankees | 344 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,300 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$481 −100% |
| Golden Knights vs. StarsSettled - ready to redeem | Golden Knights | 680 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$278 −100% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 320 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes20¢ | $11 |
| 155d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BuyNew York Yankees59¢ | $206 |
| 228d | Golden Knights vs. Stars | BuyGolden Knights41¢ | $278 |
| 236d | Flyers vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs56¢ | $112 |
| 236d | Clippers vs. Warriors | BuyWarriors47¢ | $611 |
| 238d | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BuyTimberwolves44¢ | $220 |
| 239d | Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | BuyGrizzlies34¢ | $170 |
| 239d | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | BuyNo37¢ | $82 |
| 239d | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | BuyNo37¢ | $75 |
| 239d | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | BuyNo37¢ | $325 |
| 242d | Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26? | BuyNo63¢ | $113 |
| 242d | Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26? | BuyNo63¢ | $252 |
| 242d | Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26? | BuyNo63¢ | $38 |
| 245d | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21? | BuyNo53¢ | $212 |
| 256d | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11? | BuyNo50¢ | $160 |
| 270d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo20¢ | $74 |
| 270d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $35 |
| 289d | Packers vs. Bears | BuyPackers53¢ | $154 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.