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Polymarket wallet 0x3e2e072752ea3c33d9068f837aecf484c2f0ad73 · on Polymarket since Nov 25, 2025 · also shown as Pastel-High
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 47 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $45 | +$8 +20% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +27% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 19¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$9 −99% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SellYes21¢ | $21 |
| 282d | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SellYes14¢ | $14 |
| 283d | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SellYes27¢ | $14 |
| 284d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyNo80¢ | $37 |
| 293d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%? | BuyNo89¢ | $4 |
| 295d | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BuyYes11¢ | $11 |
| 296d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyYes12¢ | $12 |
| 318d | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $10 |
| 318d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | BuyYes79¢ | $2 |
| 318d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | BuyNo93¢ | $5 |
| 318d | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ | $9 |
| 318d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ | $10 |
| 318d | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $11 |
| 318d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes97¢ | $5 |
| 333d | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes87¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.