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Polymarket wallet 0x3f549b9b504a267209dd145ae907d7fb58deb9d3 · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Pessimistic-Windshield
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,596 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 585 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110d | Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05? | Buy3¢ | $15 |
| 133d | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 263d | Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo1¢ | $6 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo5¢ | $5 |
| 267d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo36¢ | $20 |
| 281d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyUp9¢ | $1 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SellNo91¢ | $48 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ | $49 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.