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Polymarket wallet 0x4104b79b20fff61446996b8cba7151fb94e5b4b5 · on Polymarket since May 18, 2026 · also shown as Physical-Nibble-Torte
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) | BuyYes10¢ | $4 |
| 158d | Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) | SellYes7¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BuyYes93¢ | $4 |
| 159d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BuyYes93¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BuyYes32¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) | BuyYes30¢ | $5 |
| 159d | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25? | BuyNo85¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.