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Polymarket wallet 0x41070598b8171a82e94ad0664fd2d6013f9acfbc · on Polymarket since Oct 13, 2025 · also shown as Graceful-Washbasin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,103 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$551 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8,914 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,457 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 217d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown48¢ | $21 |
| 217d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown48¢ | $3 |
| 217d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown48¢ | $5 |
| 260d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 374d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $30 |
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $551 |
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,883 |
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,565 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $4,457 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.