Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x414218c07c9ced1194612c9a1832bb2d0dd62118 · on Polymarket since Apr 22, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $41 | +$11 +38% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 73 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BuyYes60¢ | $30 |
| 127d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BuyYes73¢ | $30 |
| 182d | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | BuyYes87¢ | $109 |
| 182d | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $109 |
| 184d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BuyNo62¢ | $45 |
| 184d | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.