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Polymarket wallet 0x414dbe1fb0b175234aa9f316cd55c6dc337d73be · on Polymarket since Dec 17, 2025 · also shown as Innocent-Mister
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 955 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$478 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 426 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$204 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 655 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$328 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 91d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 94d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 97d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 100d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 103d | Spread: National (-1.5) | BuyAmerican63¢ | $0 |
| 103d | Spread: National (-1.5) | BuyAmerican63¢ | $3 |
| 107d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 107d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2 |
| 219d | Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 | BuyUnder48¢ | $204 |
| 310d | XRP Up or Down - December 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,023 |
| 310d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $71 |
| 310d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 10AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $56 |
| 310d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 9AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $885 |
| 311d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 8AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $328 |
| 311d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 7AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $66 |
| 311d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 7AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $412 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.