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Polymarket wallet 0x4157d5a01f649a02d3ca92fc2e4ad3dde3b34174 · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2025 · also shown as Hopeful-Conservative
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 129 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1AM ET | BuyUp56¢ | $72 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown56¢ | $10 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown55¢ | $8 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyDown78¢ | $8 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown69¢ | $14 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.