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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 154 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,600 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 127 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | SellYes8¢ | $17 |
| 281d | US forces enter Iran by January 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 281d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 281d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 15? | BuyNo6¢ | $10 |
| 281d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15? | BuyNo8¢ | $10 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $10 |
| 281d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 287d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.