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Polymarket wallet 0x4295c440563902a4b5c978f26918560424a95b86 · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2026 · also shown as Downright-Widow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 144 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Heat vs. 76ersSettled - ready to redeem | Heat | 22 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,044 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Settled - ready to redeem | MOUZ | 21 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 167 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 817 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.