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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.7% |
| People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 78 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19? | SellYes>99¢ | $2 |
| 219d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19? | SellYes22¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19? | SellYes33¢ | $11 |
| 220d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 220d | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19? | BuyYes18¢ | $6 |
| 220d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19? | BuyYes48¢ | $1 |
| 220d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown3¢ | $2 |
| 220d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17? | BuyUp94¢ | $2 |
| 220d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes26¢ | $2 |
| 220d | People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 220d | Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.