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Polymarket wallet 0x43e786411f71428b7c56ed4770291398199a7ae3 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Tired-Macrame
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 352 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$66 −89% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$32 −85% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 83 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$8 −78% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,276 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $10 |
| 276d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes21¢ | $45 |
| 276d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes37¢ | $37 |
| 276d | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 276d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes21¢ | $29 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.