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Polymarket wallet 0x43e85269c6e76367786521225997d86a7304ff41 · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2025 · also shown as Assured-Front
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20,095 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10,048 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,500 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9,500 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,750 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 334d | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 18-24? | BuyNo97¢ | $9 |
| 349d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10? | BuyYes99¢ | $7 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $4,750 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $4,250 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $5,750 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $10,000 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $4,500 |
| 378d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $9,950 |
| 378d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $10,048 |
| 379d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
| 379d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $25 |
| 379d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
| 379d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $25 |
| 379d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.