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Polymarket wallet 0x44584a8568871d9c1e1762b95762b6124b32d3f4 · on Polymarket since Nov 13, 2025 · also shown as Optimistic-Trap
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,769 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$973 −100% |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 16 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,878 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$939 −100% |
| FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on March 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,609 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,461 −100% |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,010 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$925 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | Solana Up or Down - March 6, 12AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,320 |
| 232d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,299 |
| 233d | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown44¢ | $1,170 |
| 233d | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on March 5? | BuyUp56¢ | $1,461 |
| 266d | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown44¢ | $8 |
| 266d | Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp45¢ | $7 |
| 344d | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 13? | BuyUp46¢ | $925 |
| 344d | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 13? | BuyUp55¢ | $973 |
| 344d | XRP Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $953 |
| 344d | Solana Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $939 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.