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Polymarket wallet 0x451e8669894001b0d8475ad4ec83758eb21a0c9b · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Definitive-Representation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes19¢ | $0 |
| 219d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SellNo72¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BuyUp80¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyNo48¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo7¢ | $1 |
| 237d | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.