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Polymarket wallet 0x454a54fbea64492568d78456af52790474500d49 · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2025 · also shown as Bustling-Guava
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - December 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 192 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 201 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 209 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 192 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 193 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 319d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $93 |
| 319d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $97 |
| 319d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $105 |
| 320d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $101 |
| 320d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $5 |
| 320d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $92 |
| 320d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $5 |
| 320d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 320d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $89 |
| 323d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $91 |
| 323d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $92 |
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $93 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.